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Combat Edge Intelligence

Edson Barboza vs Zafar Mohsen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Zafar Mohsen
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Zafar Mohsen

“The Powerhouse”

15-4-0LightweightOKMMA

1670Good

Tale of the tape

24-15-0Record15-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight150 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKiboju Fight Fabrik Mannheim

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edson BarbozaNow 1669
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657
Zafar MohsenNow 1670
If they win+16→ 1686
If they lose-16→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.14
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
45%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.68
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
56%
Strike defense
Not available
0.43
Takedown avg.
Not available
32%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
73%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.08
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Edson BarbozaZafar Mohsen
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (58%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
1 (4%)
Submission
4 (27%)
9 (38%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Edson Barboza62%
Zafar Mohsen 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Edson Barboza a 62% favorite over Zafar Mohsen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zafar Mohsen's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1670), separated by just 1 points.

Edson Barboza enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Zafar Mohsen enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Edson Barboza finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Zafar Mohsen 80%.

Edson Barboza carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.