Edson Berto vs Toby Misech
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-12-1Record12-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Tiger's World of Martial ArtsTeamJesus Is Lord
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1536
If they lose-12→ 1512
If they win+16→ 1547
If they lose-16→ 1515
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Edson BertoToby Misech
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Edson Berto59%
Toby Misech 41%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Edson Berto a 59% favorite over Toby Misech in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Toby Misech's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1524 vs 1531), separated by just 7 points.
Edson Berto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Toby Misech enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Edson Berto finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Toby Misech 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.