Edson Gonçalves vs Raycon Matiele
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-2-0Record4-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'2"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Revira Black Team· 1601 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamThe Fighting Nerds· 1678 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Raycon Matiele is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +18 while a loss costs more — Edson Gonçalves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+30→ 1540
If they lose-18→ 1492
If they win+18→ 1618
If they lose-30→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1493 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Edson GonçalvesRaycon Matiele
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raycon Matiele60%
Edson Gonçalves 40%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Raycon Matiele a 60% favorite over Edson Gonçalves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Raycon Matiele holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1600 to 1510, a 90-point edge.
Edson Gonçalves enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Raycon Matiele enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Raycon Matiele 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.