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Combat Edge Intelligence

Edson Machavane vs Ivan Cuayla

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ivan Cuayla
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Ivan Cuayla

“La Roca”

5-1-0BantamweightInka MMA

1593Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record5-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edson MachavaneNow 1594
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570
Ivan CuaylaNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Edson MachavaneIvan Cuayla
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
3 (43%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Decision
4 (80%)

Combat Edge model read

Ivan Cuayla66%
Edson Machavane 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Cuayla a 66% favorite over Edson Machavane in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Edson Machavane's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1593), separated by just 1 points.

Edson Machavane enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Edson Machavane finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Cuayla 20%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.