Edson Machavane vs Jesse Butler
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'10"
-Reach40,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Creonte BJJ GymTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Edson MachavaneJesse Butler
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Edson Machavane52%
Jesse Butler 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Edson Machavane a 52% favorite over Jesse Butler in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jesse Butler's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1595), separated by just 1 points.
Edson Machavane enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jesse Butler enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Edson Machavane finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Butler 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.