Combat Edge Intelligence

Edson Machavane vs Saimon Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record18-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-Reach72"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Creonte BJJ GymTeamAstra Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Edson MachavaneNow 1596
If they win+24→ 1620
If they lose-24→ 1572
Saimon OliveiraNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.67
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.13
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.07
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
39%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.43

Trajectory

Edson MachavaneSaimon Oliveira
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (29%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
3 (43%)
Submission
11 (61%)
2 (29%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Edson Machavane63%
Saimon Oliveira 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Edson Machavane a 63% favorite over Saimon Oliveira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1595), separated by just 1 points.

Edson Machavane enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Saimon Oliveira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Edson Machavane finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Saimon Oliveira 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.