Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduarda Moura vs Lauren Murphy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-2-0Record16-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
67"Reach67"
117 lbsWeight125 lbs
Galpao da LutaTeamGracie Barra Katy

What's at stake

Eduarda Moura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Lauren Murphy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eduarda MouraNow 1705
If they win+14→ 1719
If they lose-18→ 1687
Lauren MurphyNow 1652
If they win+18→ 1670
If they lose-14→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.04
Sig. strikes / min
4.05
38%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.25
62%
Strike defense
55%
3.73
Takedown avg.
1.03
38%
Takedown accuracy
25%
80%
Takedown defense
70%
0.27
Submission avg.
0.07

Trajectory

Eduarda MouraLauren Murphy
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
5 (42%)
Submission
1 (6%)
3 (25%)
Decision
7 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Eduarda Moura79%
Lauren Murphy 21%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Eduarda Moura a 79% favorite over Lauren Murphy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Eduarda Moura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1705 to 1652, a 53-point edge.

Lauren Murphy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eduarda Moura finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Lauren Murphy 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.