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Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Castro vs Jhon Rivera

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Jhon Rivera
pe

Jhon Rivera

“Charanguerito”

10-2-0FlyweightInka MMA

1653Good

Tale of the tape

15-7-0Record10-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
66"Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Carioca Academy· 1610 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamPitbull Martial Arts Center· 1659 avg Elo · 12 rated

What's at stake

Jhon Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Eduardo Castro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eduardo CastroNow 1600
If they win+18→ 1618
If they lose-14→ 1586
Jhon RiveraNow 1653
If they win+14→ 1667
If they lose-18→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1528 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Eduardo CastroJhon Rivera
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (20%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
8 (53%)
Submission
3 (30%)
4 (27%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Eduardo Castro and Jhon Rivera within a point of even.

Jhon Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1653 to 1600, a 53-point edge.

Eduardo Castro finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jhon Rivera 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.