Eduardo Castro vs Jhon Rivera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-7-0Record10-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
66"Reach-
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Carioca Academy· 1605 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamPitbull Martial Arts Center· 1671 avg Elo · 10 rated
What's at stake
Jhon Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Eduardo Castro carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1609
If they lose-12→ 1577
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-20→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Eduardo CastroJhon Rivera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jhon Rivera59%
Eduardo Castro 41%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Jhon Rivera a 59% favorite over Eduardo Castro in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Jhon Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1589, a 86-point edge.
Jhon Rivera enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Eduardo Castro finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Jhon Rivera 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.