Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Dutra vs Júlio Assunção

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record6-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Babuino Gold Team· 1561 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

Eduardo Dutra is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Júlio Assunção carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Eduardo DutraNow 1653
If they win+22→ 1675
If they lose-26→ 1627
Júlio AssunçãoNow 1628
If they win+26→ 1654
If they lose-22→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1494 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Eduardo DutraJúlio Assunção
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
5 (71%)
Submission
1 (17%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Eduardo Dutra66%
Júlio Assunção 34%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Eduardo Dutra a 66% favorite over Júlio Assunção in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Eduardo Dutra holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1653 to 1628, a 25-point edge.

Eduardo Dutra enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Júlio Assunção enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Eduardo Dutra finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Júlio Assunção 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.