Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Terêncio vs Hermes Franca

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record26-20-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamVictory MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo TerêncioNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Hermes FrancaNow 1550
If they win+12→ 1562
If they lose-12→ 1538

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.78
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.85
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.53
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
38%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.38

Trajectory

Eduardo TerêncioHermes Franca
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
8 (31%)
3 (30%)
Submission
15 (58%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Eduardo Terêncio70%
Hermes Franca 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eduardo Terêncio a 70% favorite over Hermes Franca in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1550), separated by just 3 points.

Hermes Franca enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eduardo Terêncio finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Hermes Franca 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.