Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Terêncio vs Paul Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record10-9-2
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team Orlando

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo TerêncioNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Paul RodriguezNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.85
TBD
Strike accuracy
100%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.54
TBD
Strike defense
68%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eduardo TerêncioPaul Rodriguez
15502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
3 (30%)
Submission
6 (60%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Eduardo Terêncio63%
Paul Rodriguez 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eduardo Terêncio a 63% favorite over Paul Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Rodriguez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1555), separated by just 2 points.

Eduardo Terêncio finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paul Rodriguez 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.