Combat Edge Intelligence

Eduardo Terêncio vs Joe Duarte

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Joe Duarte
us

Joe Duarte

“The Hybrid”

10-4-0LightweightBFC

1552Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record10-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamThe Arena

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eduardo TerêncioNow 1553
If they win+16→ 1569
If they lose-16→ 1537
Joe DuarteNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Eduardo TerêncioJoe Duarte
15501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
3 (30%)
Submission
6 (60%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Eduardo Terêncio66%
Joe Duarte 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eduardo Terêncio a 66% favorite over Joe Duarte in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1553 vs 1552), separated by just 1 points.

Joe Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eduardo Terêncio finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Joe Duarte 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.