Edward Faaloloto vs Luan Duarte
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-5-0Record14-12-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Mouri DojoTeamTata Fight Team· 1516 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Luan Duarte is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Edward Faaloloto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1442
If they lose-21→ 1394
If they win+14→ 1474
If they lose-18→ 1442
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Edward FaalolotoLuan Duarte
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Duarte75%
Edward Faaloloto 25%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Duarte a 75% favorite over Edward Faaloloto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Luan Duarte holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1460 to 1415, a 45-point edge.
Edward Faaloloto enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Luan Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luan Duarte 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.