Combat Edge Intelligence

Edward Faaloloto vs Michael Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-5-0Record24-20-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Mouri DojoTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

Michael Johnson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Edward Faaloloto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Edward FaalolotoNow 1415
If they win+36→ 1451
If they lose-12→ 1403
Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+6→ 1619
If they lose-18→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.28
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
33%
Strike accuracy
40%
6.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
45%
Strike defense
59%
1.01
Takedown avg.
0.58
25%
Takedown accuracy
39%
33%
Takedown defense
81%
0
Submission avg.
0.04

Trajectory

Edward FaalolotoMichael Johnson
140014501500155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
1 (50%)
Submission
2 (8%)
1 (50%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Johnson79%
Edward Faaloloto 21%Elo baseline: 76%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Johnson a 79% favorite over Edward Faaloloto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).

Michael Johnson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1613 to 1415, a 198-point edge.

Edward Faaloloto enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Michael Johnson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.