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Combat Edge Intelligence

Edward Faaloloto vs Raphael Mebenga

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-5-0Record1-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

Raphael Mebenga is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Edward Faaloloto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Edward FaalolotoNow 1415
If they win+26→ 1441
If they lose-22→ 1393
Raphael MebengaNow 1449
If they win+22→ 1471
If they lose-26→ 1423

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1541 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.28
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
33%
Strike accuracy
Not available
6.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
45%
Strike defense
Not available
1.01
Takedown avg.
Not available
25%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
33%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Edward FaalolotoRaphael Mebenga
1400145015002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Decision
1 (100%)

Combat Edge model read

Raphael Mebenga52%
Edward Faaloloto 48%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Raphael Mebenga a 52% favorite over Edward Faaloloto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Raphael Mebenga holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1449 to 1415, a 34-point edge.

Edward Faaloloto enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Raphael Mebenga enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.