Combat Edge Intelligence

Edward Faaloloto vs Taisei Mizusugi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-5-0Record6-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight156 lbs
Mouri DojoTeamblooM

What's at stake

Taisei Mizusugi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Edward Faaloloto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Edward FaalolotoNow 1415
If they win+28→ 1443
If they lose-20→ 1395
Taisei MizusugiNow 1470
If they win+13→ 1483
If they lose-19→ 1451

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.28
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
33%
Strike accuracy
TBD
6.25
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
45%
Strike defense
TBD
1.01
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
33%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Edward FaalolotoTaisei Mizusugi
1400145015002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
1 (50%)
Submission
1 (17%)
1 (50%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Taisei Mizusugi83%
Edward Faaloloto 17%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Taisei Mizusugi a 83% favorite over Edward Faaloloto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Taisei Mizusugi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1470 to 1415, a 55-point edge.

Edward Faaloloto enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Taisei Mizusugi 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.