Edward Montes vs Estevan Payan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
0-0-0Record17-14-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight148 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1553
If they lose-24→ 1505
If they win+12→ 1537
If they lose-12→ 1513
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Edward MontesEstevan Payan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Edward Montes66%
Estevan Payan 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Edward Montes a 66% favorite over Estevan Payan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1529 vs 1525), separated by just 4 points.
Estevan Payan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Estevan Payan 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.