Edwin Dewees vs Jorge Rivera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
38-17-0Record20-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Lions Den ScottsdaleTeamRivera Athletic Center
What's at stake
Jorge Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Edwin Dewees carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1598
If they lose-9→ 1574
If they win+9→ 1690
If they lose-15→ 1666
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Edwin DeweesJorge Rivera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Edwin Dewees53%
Jorge Rivera 47%Elo baseline: 36%
The Combat Edge model makes Edwin Dewees a 53% favorite over Jorge Rivera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jorge Rivera's way (36%).
Jorge Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1681 to 1583, a 98-point edge.
Edwin Dewees enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Edwin Dewees finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Jorge Rivera 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.