Combat Edge Intelligence

Edwin Dewees vs Rich Franklin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Edwin Dewees
us

Edwin Dewees

“Babyface”

38-17-0Light HeavyweightRITC

1583Solid

Tale of the tape

38-17-0Record29-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Lions Den ScottsdaleTeamTeam Extreme

What's at stake

Rich Franklin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Edwin Dewees carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Edwin DeweesNow 1583
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-8→ 1575
Rich FranklinNow 1710
If they win+8→ 1718
If they lose-16→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1689 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.56
Sig. strikes / min
4.10
39%
Strike accuracy
44%
8.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.07
39%
Strike defense
63%
3.11
Takedown avg.
1.31
100%
Takedown accuracy
67%
0%
Takedown defense
63%
4.67
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Edwin DeweesRich Franklin
1600165017002011201220132014

Win method breakdown

10 (26%)
KO/TKO
20 (69%)
24 (63%)
Submission
5 (17%)
4 (11%)
Decision
4 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Rich Franklin76%
Edwin Dewees 24%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Rich Franklin a 76% favorite over Edwin Dewees in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Rich Franklin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1583, a 127-point edge.

Edwin Dewees enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Edwin Dewees finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Rich Franklin 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.