Combat Edge Intelligence

Edwin Figueroa vs Erik Perez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Erik Perez
mx

Erik Perez

“Goyito”

20-9-0FeatherweightBFC

1657Good

Tale of the tape

9-5-0Record20-9-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReach68,0"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Mohler MMATeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

Erik Perez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Edwin Figueroa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Edwin FigueroaNow 1551
If they win+21→ 1572
If they lose-11→ 1540
Erik PerezNow 1657
If they win+8→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
3.16
39%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.09
52%
Strike defense
67%
0.20
Takedown avg.
3.16
100%
Takedown accuracy
56%
37%
Takedown defense
69%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Edwin FigueroaErik Perez
1550160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

6 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (25%)
2 (22%)
Submission
8 (40%)
1 (11%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Erik Perez75%
Edwin Figueroa 25%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Erik Perez a 75% favorite over Edwin Figueroa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Erik Perez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1551, a 106-point edge.

Edwin Figueroa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Edwin Figueroa finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Erik Perez 65%.

Edwin Figueroa and Erik Perez share 2 common opponents: Francisco Rivera and Francisco Rivera Jr..

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossKO/TKO · 2013
Francisco Rivera
WinDEC · 2016
Loss Punches · 2013
Francisco Rivera Jr.
Win Decision · 2016