Edwin Figueroa vs Francisco Rivera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record16-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach68,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Mohler MMATeamAll In MMA
What's at stake
Francisco Rivera is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Edwin Figueroa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1570
If they lose-13→ 1538
If they win+10→ 1621
If they lose-14→ 1597
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Edwin FigueroaFrancisco Rivera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Francisco Rivera58%
Edwin Figueroa 42%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Rivera a 58% favorite over Edwin Figueroa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Francisco Rivera holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1611 to 1551, a 60-point edge.
Edwin Figueroa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Edwin Figueroa finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Francisco Rivera 63%.
Edwin Figueroa and Francisco Rivera share 1 common opponent: Erik Perez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.