Edwin Figueroa vs Pietro Mochetti
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record5-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Mohler MMATeamAurora MMA· 1581 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1567
If they lose-16→ 1535
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Edwin FigueroaPietro Mochetti
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pietro Mochetti59%
Edwin Figueroa 41%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Pietro Mochetti a 59% favorite over Edwin Figueroa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Edwin Figueroa's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1547), separated by just 4 points.
Edwin Figueroa enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Edwin Figueroa finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Pietro Mochetti 20%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.