Combat Edge Intelligence

Efrain Escudero vs Evan Dunham

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-17-0Record18-9-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70,0"Reach70,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA LabTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Evan Dunham is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Efrain Escudero carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Efrain EscuderoNow 1604
If they win+14→ 1618
If they lose-10→ 1594
Evan DunhamNow 1670
If they win+10→ 1680
If they lose-14→ 1656

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
5.33
45%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.54
63%
Strike defense
62%
1.31
Takedown avg.
1.82
41%
Takedown accuracy
33%
67%
Takedown defense
80%
0.81
Submission avg.
0.98

Trajectory

Efrain EscuderoEvan Dunham
160016501700201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

2 (6%)
KO/TKO
3 (17%)
16 (50%)
Submission
6 (33%)
14 (44%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Evan Dunham58%
Efrain Escudero 42%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Evan Dunham a 58% favorite over Efrain Escudero in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Evan Dunham holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1604, a 66-point edge.

Evan Dunham enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Efrain Escudero finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Evan Dunham 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.