Combat Edge Intelligence

Efrain Escudero vs Kevin Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Kevin Lee
us

Kevin Lee

“The Motown Phenom”

20-9-0WelterweightPFL

1711Good

Tale of the tape

32-17-0Record20-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70,0"Reach77"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA LabTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

Kevin Lee is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Efrain Escudero carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Efrain EscuderoNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-8→ 1596
Kevin LeeNow 1711
If they win+8→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1695

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
3.88
45%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.60
63%
Strike defense
50%
1.31
Takedown avg.
3.18
41%
Takedown accuracy
43%
67%
Takedown defense
75%
0.81
Submission avg.
0.76

Trajectory

Efrain EscuderoKevin Lee
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (6%)
KO/TKO
3 (15%)
16 (50%)
Submission
9 (45%)
14 (44%)
Decision
8 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Kevin Lee78%
Efrain Escudero 22%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Lee a 78% favorite over Efrain Escudero in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Kevin Lee holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1604, a 107-point edge.

Efrain Escudero finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Lee 60%.

Kevin Lee carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.