Combat Edge Intelligence

Efrain Escudero vs Leonardo Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-17-0Record18-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height6'0"
70,0"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA LabTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Leonardo Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Efrain Escudero carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Efrain EscuderoNow 1604
If they win+15→ 1619
If they lose-9→ 1595
Leonardo SantosNow 1678
If they win+13→ 1691
If they lose-19→ 1659

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
2.82
45%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
63%
Strike defense
54%
1.31
Takedown avg.
0.88
41%
Takedown accuracy
26%
67%
Takedown defense
87%
0.81
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Efrain EscuderoLeonardo Santos
1600165017001750202120222023

Win method breakdown

2 (6%)
KO/TKO
3 (18%)
16 (50%)
Submission
9 (53%)
14 (44%)
Decision
5 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Leonardo Santos60%
Efrain Escudero 40%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Santos a 60% favorite over Efrain Escudero in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Leonardo Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1604, a 74-point edge.

Leonardo Santos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Efrain Escudero finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Santos 71%.

Leonardo Santos carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.