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Combat Edge Intelligence

Efrain Escudero vs Phillipe Nover

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-17-0Record11-8-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70,0"Reach72,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA LabTeamTeam Renzo Gracie

What's at stake

Phillipe Nover is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Efrain Escudero carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Efrain EscuderoNow 1608
If they win+13→ 1621
If they lose-11→ 1597
Phillipe NoverNow 1647
If they win+14→ 1661
If they lose-18→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
1.79
45%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.48
63%
Strike defense
56%
1.31
Takedown avg.
0.99
41%
Takedown accuracy
29%
67%
Takedown defense
45%
0.81
Submission avg.
0.66

Trajectory

Efrain EscuderoPhillipe Nover
16001650170020162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

2 (6%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
16 (50%)
Submission
5 (45%)
14 (44%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Phillipe Nover54%
Efrain Escudero 46%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Phillipe Nover a 54% favorite over Efrain Escudero in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Phillipe Nover holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1608, a 39-point edge.

Phillipe Nover enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Efrain Escudero finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Phillipe Nover 55%.

Phillipe Nover carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.