Combat Edge Intelligence

Efrain Escudero vs Rodrigo de Lima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

32-17-0Record9-3-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
70,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA LabTeamCoalizao Fight Team

What's at stake

Efrain Escudero is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Rodrigo de Lima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Efrain EscuderoNow 1604
If they win+8→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1588
Rodrigo de LimaNow 1468
If they win+33→ 1501
If they lose-15→ 1453

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 3 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.92
Sig. strikes / min
1.29
45%
Strike accuracy
34%
2.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.50
63%
Strike defense
33%
1.31
Takedown avg.
2.66
41%
Takedown accuracy
36%
67%
Takedown defense
0%
0.81
Submission avg.
1.33

Trajectory

Efrain EscuderoRodrigo de Lima
1450150015501600201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

2 (6%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
16 (50%)
Submission
7 (78%)
14 (44%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Efrain Escudero60%
Rodrigo de Lima 40%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Efrain Escudero a 60% favorite over Rodrigo de Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Efrain Escudero holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1604 to 1468, a 136-point edge.

Rodrigo de Lima enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Efrain Escudero finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo de Lima 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.