Combat Edge Intelligence

Egidijus Valavicius vs Emiliano Sordi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-12-0Record27-14-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Flawless MMATeamNova Uniao Argentina

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Egidijus ValaviciusNow 1626
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614
Emiliano SordiNow 1625
If they win+12→ 1637
If they lose-12→ 1613

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.79
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.79
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
8.28

Trajectory

Egidijus ValaviciusEmiliano Sordi
160016502014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

18 (62%)
KO/TKO
18 (67%)
6 (21%)
Submission
7 (26%)
5 (17%)
Decision
2 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Emiliano Sordi63%
Egidijus Valavicius 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Emiliano Sordi a 63% favorite over Egidijus Valavicius in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Egidijus Valavicius's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1625), separated by just 1 points.

Egidijus Valavicius finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Emiliano Sordi 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.