Egidijus Valavicius vs Raffael Cerqueira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-12-0Record11-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Flawless MMATeamCTJ Judo & Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1614
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1532 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Egidijus ValaviciusRaffael Cerqueira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raffael Cerqueira63%
Egidijus Valavicius 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Raffael Cerqueira a 63% favorite over Egidijus Valavicius in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1628), separated by just 2 points.
Raffael Cerqueira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Egidijus Valavicius finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Raffael Cerqueira 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.