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Combat Edge Intelligence

Eidy Macías vs Jessica Aguilar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Eidy Macías
ec

Eidy Macías

“The Talent”

6-1-0FlyweightInka MMA

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record20-10-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'3"
-Reach63,0"
119 lbsWeight107 lbs
Randori Combat ClubTeamLiborio Experience

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eidy MacíasNow 1612
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
Jessica AguilarNow 1612
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1512 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.93
Not available
Strike accuracy
51%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.19
Not available
Strike defense
54%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.94
Not available
Takedown accuracy
25%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.24

Trajectory

Eidy MacíasJessica Aguilar
1600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (10%)
1 (17%)
Submission
8 (40%)
3 (50%)
Decision
10 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Jessica Aguilar51%
Eidy Macías 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jessica Aguilar a 51% favorite over Eidy Macías in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Eidy Macías's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1612), separated by just 0 points.

Jessica Aguilar enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Eidy Macías finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jessica Aguilar 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.