AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Eiji Mitsuoka vs Lucas Ganin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Eiji Mitsuoka
jp

Eiji Mitsuoka

“The Heaven-Sent Child of the Cage”

18-9-2FeatherweightUFC

1636Solid
Lucas Ganin
ar

Lucas Ganin

“Tazmania”

9-3-0FeatherweightMMAM

1637Solid

Tale of the tape

18-9-2Record9-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'6"
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Wajutsu Keishukai RJWTeamIS 360 Sport Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eiji MitsuokaNow 1636
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624
Lucas GaninNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.33
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
49%
Strike accuracy
Not available
9.28
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
46%
Strike defense
Not available
1.35
Takedown avg.
Not available
17%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
20%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.35
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Eiji MitsuokaLucas Ganin
165020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
9 (50%)
Submission
6 (67%)
4 (22%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucas Ganin57%
Eiji Mitsuoka 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Ganin a 57% favorite over Eiji Mitsuoka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1636 vs 1637), separated by just 1 points.

Eiji Mitsuoka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Lucas Ganin enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eiji Mitsuoka finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Lucas Ganin 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.