Eiji Mitsuoka vs Nik Lentz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-2Record30-12-2
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Wajutsu Keishukai RJWTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Nik Lentz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Eiji Mitsuoka carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1649
If they lose-11→ 1625
If they win+11→ 1677
If they lose-13→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1698 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Eiji MitsuokaNik Lentz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nik Lentz73%
Eiji Mitsuoka 27%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Nik Lentz a 73% favorite over Eiji Mitsuoka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Nik Lentz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1666 to 1636, a 30-point edge.
Eiji Mitsuoka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Eiji Mitsuoka finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Nik Lentz 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.