Eimear Darcy vs Rachael Ostovich
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-3-0Record4-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'3"
-Reach38,5"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Compound Martial ArtsTeamJesus Is Lord
What's at stake
Eimear Darcy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Rachael Ostovich carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1501
If they lose-26→ 1453
If they win+17→ 1473
If they lose-15→ 1441
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1491 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Eimear DarcyRachael Ostovich
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eimear Darcy70%
Rachael Ostovich 30%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Eimear Darcy a 70% favorite over Rachael Ostovich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Eimear Darcy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1479 to 1456, a 23-point edge.
Eimear Darcy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Rachael Ostovich enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Eimear Darcy finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Rachael Ostovich 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.