Elbek Alyshov vs Julio Arce
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-0-0Record22-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight147 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699
If they win+12→ 1727
If they lose-12→ 1703
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elbek AlyshovJulio Arce
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julio Arce58%
Elbek Alyshov 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Julio Arce a 58% favorite over Elbek Alyshov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elbek Alyshov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1715), separated by just 0 points.
Elbek Alyshov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Elbek Alyshov finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Julio Arce 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.