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Combat Edge Intelligence

Elbek Alyshov vs Julio Arce

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-0-0Record22-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'7"
69"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight147 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elbek AlyshovNow 1717
If they win+16→ 1733
If they lose-16→ 1701
Julio ArceNow 1719
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-12→ 1707

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
Not available
Strike accuracy
36%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
Not available
Strike defense
68%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.46
Not available
Takedown accuracy
29%
Not available
Takedown defense
96%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Elbek AlyshovJulio Arce
170020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
8 (73%)
Submission
5 (23%)
1 (9%)
Decision
10 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Julio Arce60%
Elbek Alyshov 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Julio Arce a 60% favorite over Elbek Alyshov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1717 vs 1719), separated by just 2 points.

Elbek Alyshov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Elbek Alyshov finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Julio Arce 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.