Combat Edge Intelligence

Eldiyar Alymseitov vs Mike Santiago

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-1Record22-14-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-Reach41,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Road Gym ChungjuTeamTop Notch Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eldiyar AlymseitovNow 1592
If they win+24→ 1616
If they lose-24→ 1568
Mike SantiagoNow 1590
If they win+12→ 1602
If they lose-12→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.44
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.58
TBD
Strike defense
36%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.66
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
54%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.06

Trajectory

Eldiyar AlymseitovMike Santiago
15501600165020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
7 (32%)
4 (100%)
Submission
11 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Eldiyar Alymseitov70%
Mike Santiago 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eldiyar Alymseitov a 70% favorite over Mike Santiago in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1590), separated by just 2 points.

Eldiyar Alymseitov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mike Santiago enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Eldiyar Alymseitov finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mike Santiago 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.