Elez Guri vs Nolan Ticman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record4-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
TBDHeight5'6"
TBDReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Ars MartisTeamKings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1532
If they lose-24→ 1484
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1485 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elez GuriNolan Ticman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elez Guri57%
Nolan Ticman 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Elez Guri a 57% favorite over Nolan Ticman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1508 vs 1507), separated by just 1 points.
Nolan Ticman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nolan Ticman 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.