Elias Boudegzdame vs Richie Smullen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-9-0Record15-5-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
69"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
La Bonne EcoleTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1654
If they lose-16→ 1622
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elias BoudegzdameRichie Smullen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elias Boudegzdame52%
Richie Smullen 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Elias Boudegzdame a 52% favorite over Richie Smullen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1637), separated by just 1 points.
Elias Boudegzdame enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Richie Smullen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Elias Boudegzdame finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Richie Smullen 80%.
Richie Smullen carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.