Elias Boudegzdame vs Tobias Harila
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-9-0Record13-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'9"
69"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
La Bonne EcoleTeamVasteras Fight Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elias BoudegzdameTobias Harila
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elias Boudegzdame83%
Tobias Harila 17%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Elias Boudegzdame a 83% favorite over Tobias Harila in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tobias Harila's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1640), separated by just 1 points.
Elias Boudegzdame enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Elias Boudegzdame finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Tobias Harila 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.