Elias Garcia vs Joseph Larcinese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record6-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
37,0"Reach64"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Roufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamIgor MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
If they win+24→ 1661
If they lose-24→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elias GarciaJoseph Larcinese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joseph Larcinese63%
Elias Garcia 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joseph Larcinese a 63% favorite over Elias Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elias Garcia's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1637), separated by just 2 points.
Elias Garcia enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Joseph Larcinese enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Elias Garcia finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Larcinese 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.