Elias Garcia vs Kai Kara-France
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record25-12-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
37,0"Reach69″
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Roufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamCity Kickboxing
What's at stake
Kai Kara-France is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Elias Garcia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1657
If they lose-14→ 1625
If they win+11→ 1689
If they lose-13→ 1665
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1711 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elias GarciaKai Kara-France
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kai Kara-France63%
Elias Garcia 37%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Kai Kara-France a 63% favorite over Elias Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Kai Kara-France holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1678 to 1639, a 39-point edge.
Elias Garcia enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Elias Garcia finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Kai Kara-France 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.