Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Garcia vs Takeru Uchida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Elias Garcia
us

Elias Garcia

“El Pescador”

10-2-0FlyweightOKMMA

1639Solid

Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record9-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
37,0"Reach68"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Roufusport· 1700 avg Elo · 7 ratedTeamParaestra Matsudo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias GarciaNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Takeru UchidaNow 1636
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.59
Sig. strikes / min
0.42
28%
Strike accuracy
40%
5.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.63
50%
Strike defense
25%
0.68
Takedown avg.
3.17
14%
Takedown accuracy
0%
33%
Takedown defense
0%
1.36
Submission avg.
6.34

Trajectory

Elias GarciaTakeru Uchida
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (40%)
Submission
9 (100%)
3 (30%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Takeru Uchida63%
Elias Garcia 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Takeru Uchida a 63% favorite over Elias Garcia in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elias Garcia's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1636), separated by just 3 points.

Elias Garcia enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Takeru Uchida enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Elias Garcia finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Takeru Uchida 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.