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Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Rodriguez vs Pablo Garza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Pablo Garza
us

Pablo Garza

“The Scarecrow”

12-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1605Solid

Tale of the tape

5-0-0Record12-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height6'1"
73"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias RodriguezNow 1604
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
Pablo GarzaNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1514 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.70
Not available
Strike defense
50%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.94
Not available
Takedown accuracy
25%
Not available
Takedown defense
15%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.26

Trajectory

Elias RodriguezPablo Garza
15001550160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (60%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
1 (20%)
Submission
6 (50%)
1 (20%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Elias Rodriguez and Pablo Garza within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.

Elias Rodriguez enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Elias Rodriguez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Pablo Garza 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.