Elias Rodriguez vs Tristan Connelly
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-0-0Record14-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
High Altitude Martial ArtsTeamRyan's MMA - Checkmat Vancouver
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1514 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elias RodriguezTristan Connelly
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elias Rodriguez55%
Tristan Connelly 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Elias Rodriguez a 55% favorite over Tristan Connelly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1604), separated by just 0 points.
Elias Rodriguez enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Tristan Connelly enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Elias Rodriguez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tristan Connelly 93%.
Elias Rodriguez carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.