Elias Silverio vs Ernest Chavez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-10-1Record10-2-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight146 lbs
Elias Silverio TeamTeamTotal MMA Studios
What's at stake
Ernest Chavez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Elias Silverio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1603
If they lose-10→ 1579
If they win+13→ 1660
If they lose-19→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Elias SilverioErnest Chavez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ernest Chavez72%
Elias Silverio 28%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Ernest Chavez a 72% favorite over Elias Silverio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Ernest Chavez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1589, a 58-point edge.
Ernest Chavez enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Elias Silverio finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Ernest Chavez 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.