Elias Silverio vs Ernest Chavez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-10-1Record10-2-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight146 lbs
Elias Silverio TeamTeamTotal MMA Studios
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1630
If they lose-12→ 1606
If they win+15→ 1647
If they lose-17→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1575 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elias SilverioErnest Chavez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Elias Silverio63%
Ernest Chavez 37%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Elias Silverio a 63% favorite over Ernest Chavez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ernest Chavez's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1618 vs 1632), separated by just 14 points.
Ernest Chavez enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Elias Silverio finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Ernest Chavez 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.