Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Silverio vs Isaac Vallie-Flagg

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-10-1Record16-7-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight159 lbs
Elias Silverio TeamTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Isaac Vallie-Flagg is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Elias Silverio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Elias SilverioNow 1589
If they win+13→ 1602
If they lose-11→ 1578
Isaac Vallie-FlaggNow 1627
If they win+14→ 1641
If they lose-18→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
5.56
50%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.60
52%
Strike defense
45%
1.62
Takedown avg.
0.20
38%
Takedown accuracy
13%
86%
Takedown defense
59%
0.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elias SilverioIsaac Vallie-Flagg
160016502015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
2 (10%)
Submission
5 (31%)
14 (70%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Isaac Vallie-Flagg64%
Elias Silverio 36%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Isaac Vallie-Flagg a 64% favorite over Elias Silverio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Isaac Vallie-Flagg holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1589, a 38-point edge.

Elias Silverio finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Isaac Vallie-Flagg 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.