Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Silverio vs Michael Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-10-1Record24-20-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elias Silverio TeamTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias SilverioNow 1612
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600
Michael JohnsonNow 1613
If they win+12→ 1625
If they lose-12→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
50%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.79
52%
Strike defense
59%
1.62
Takedown avg.
0.58
38%
Takedown accuracy
39%
86%
Takedown defense
81%
0.20
Submission avg.
0.04

Trajectory

Elias SilverioMichael Johnson
160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
10 (42%)
2 (10%)
Submission
2 (8%)
14 (70%)
Decision
12 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Elias Silverio and Michael Johnson within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.

Elias Silverio finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Michael Johnson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.