Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Silverio vs Rashid Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-10-1Record25-6-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach70,5"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elias Silverio TeamTeamGorets Fight Club

What's at stake

Rashid Magomedov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Elias Silverio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Elias SilverioNow 1589
If they win+17→ 1606
If they lose-7→ 1582
Rashid MagomedovNow 1728
If they win+7→ 1735
If they lose-17→ 1711

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
4.40
50%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
52%
Strike defense
55%
1.62
Takedown avg.
0.67
38%
Takedown accuracy
57%
86%
Takedown defense
89%
0.20
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Elias SilverioRashid Magomedov
1600165017001750201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
9 (36%)
2 (10%)
Submission
1 (4%)
14 (70%)
Decision
15 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Rashid Magomedov78%
Elias Silverio 22%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Rashid Magomedov a 78% favorite over Elias Silverio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Rashid Magomedov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1589, a 139-point edge.

Elias Silverio finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Rashid Magomedov 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.