Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Silverio vs Shane Campbell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-10-1Record24-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach71,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Elias Silverio TeamTeamShaolin Muay Thai

What's at stake

Shane Campbell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Elias Silverio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Elias SilverioNow 1599
If they win+14→ 1613
If they lose-10→ 1589
Shane CampbellNow 1647
If they win+10→ 1657
If they lose-14→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
3.99
50%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.19
52%
Strike defense
55%
1.62
Takedown avg.
1.36
38%
Takedown accuracy
29%
86%
Takedown defense
82%
0.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elias SilverioShane Campbell
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (20%)
KO/TKO
9 (38%)
2 (10%)
Submission
6 (25%)
14 (70%)
Decision
9 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Campbell66%
Elias Silverio 34%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Campbell a 66% favorite over Elias Silverio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Shane Campbell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1599, a 48-point edge.

Elias Silverio finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.