Elias Silverio vs Shane Campbell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-10-1Record24-8-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height6'0"
TBDReach71,0"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Shane Campbell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Elias Silverio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1630
If they lose-11→ 1606
If they win+11→ 1662
If they lose-13→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Elias SilverioShane Campbell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Elias Silverio and Shane Campbell within a point of even.
Shane Campbell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1651 to 1617, a 34-point edge.
Elias Silverio finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.