Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Silvério vs Tafon Nchukwi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

22-13-1Record7-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'0"
73"Reach77"
172 lbsWeight190 lbs
Elias Silverio TeamTeamTeam Lloyd Irvin

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias SilvérioNow 1589
If they win+12→ 1601
If they lose-12→ 1577
Tafon NchukwiNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1620 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.76
TBD
Takedown accuracy
57%
TBD
Takedown defense
65%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Elias SilvérioTafon Nchukwi
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (18%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
3 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
15 (68%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Elias Silvério and Tafon Nchukwi within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1589), separated by just 0 points.

Elias Silvério finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Tafon Nchukwi 57%.

Tafon Nchukwi carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.