Combat Edge Intelligence

Elias Theodorou vs Joe Pyfer

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Pyfer
us

Joe Pyfer

“Bodybagz”

16-3-0MiddleweightUFC

1763Great

Tale of the tape

19-3-0Record16-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
75,5"Reach75"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Kros GymTeamTeam Balance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Elias TheodorouNow 1771
If they win+16→ 1787
If they lose-16→ 1755
Joe PyferNow 1763
If they win+16→ 1779
If they lose-16→ 1747

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1673 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.19
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
42%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
53%
Strike defense
54%
1.27
Takedown avg.
1.23
28%
Takedown accuracy
33%
59%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
1.02

Trajectory

Elias TheodorouJoe Pyfer
170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (42%)
KO/TKO
10 (63%)
1 (5%)
Submission
4 (25%)
10 (53%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Joe Pyfer70%
Elias Theodorou 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Joe Pyfer a 70% favorite over Elias Theodorou in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Elias Theodorou's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1771 vs 1763), separated by just 8 points.

Elias Theodorou enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Joe Pyfer enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Elias Theodorou finishes 47% of wins inside the distance, Joe Pyfer 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.